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Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal The relationship between hydro-climatic variables and E. coli concentrations in surface and drinking water of the Kabul River Basin in Pakistan

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal

Iqbal MS, Ahmad MN, Hofstra N
2017
Aims Environmental Science. 4 (5): 690-708

Microbial water contamination is a risk for human health, as it causes waterborne diseases like diarrhea. E. coli is a faecal indicator microorganism. Climate variables, such as temperature and precipitation, influence E. coli concentrations in surface and drinking water resources. We measure and statistically analyse E. coli concentrations in drinking and surface water in the Kabul River Basin. E. coli concentrations are very high in the basin. Drinking and bathing water standards are violated. Water temperature, surface air temperature, discharge and precipitation were positively correlated with E. coli concentrations. Precipitation induced runoff transports of E. coli from agricultural lands to Kabul River and high temperature coincides with high precipitation and discharge. A linear regression model was developed to assess the net effect of the climate variables on E. coli concentrations. We found that climate variables accounted for more than half of the observed variation in E. coli concentrations in surface (R-2 = 0.61) and drinking water (R-2 = 0.55). This study indicates that increased precipitation together with higher surface air temperature, as expected in this region with climate change, were significantly correlated with increased E. coli concentrations in the future. Waterborne pathogens are expected to respond similarly to hydro-climatic changes, indicating that disease outbreaks could well become more frequent and severe.

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Resource Description

    Extreme Weather-Related Event or Disaster, Precipitation, Temperature, Water Quality
    • Extreme Weather-Related Event or Disaster, Precipitation, Temperature, Water Quality: Flood
    • Extreme Weather-Related Event or Disaster, Precipitation, Temperature, Water Quality: Heat
    • Extreme Weather-Related Event or Disaster, Precipitation, Temperature, Water Quality: Marine/Freshwater Pathogen, Other Water Quality, Specify
      • Marine/Freshwater Pathogen, Other Water Quality, Specify: Water Temperature
      Water quality issue (other)
    Freshwater
    Non-United States
    • Non-United States: Asia
    Infectious Disease
    • Infectious Disease: Waterborne Disease
      • Waterborne Disease: E. coli, Diarrheal Disease, Unspecified
      Waterborne Disease
    Research Article
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