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National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences

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Your Environment. Your Health.

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal Climate related diseases. Current regional variability and projections to the year 2100

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal

Author(s):
Blazejczyk K, Baranowski J, Blazejczyk A
Year:
2018
Journal:
Quaestiones Geographicae. 37 (1): 23-36
Abstract:

The health of individuals and societies depends on different factors including atmospheric conditions which influence humans in direct and indirect ways. The paper presents regional variability of some climate related diseases (CRD) in Poland: salmonellosis intoxications, Lyme boreliosis, skin cancers (morbidity and mortality), influenza, overcooling deaths, as well as respiratory and circulatory mortality. The research consisted of two stages: 1) statistical modelling basing on past data and 2) projections of CRD for three SRES scenarios of climate change (A1B, A2, B1) to the year 2100. Several simple and multiply regression models were found for the relationships between climate variables and CRD. The models were applied to project future levels of CRD. At the end of 21(st) century we must expect increase in: circulatory mortality, Lyme boreliosis infections and skin cancer morbidity and mortality. There is also projected decrease in: respiratory mortality, overcooling deaths and influenza infections.

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Resource Description

Exposure What is this?

weather or climate related pathway by which climate change affects health

    General Exposure, Extreme Weather-Related Event or Disaster, Solar Radiation, Temperature
    • General Exposure, Extreme Weather-Related Event or Disaster, Solar Radiation, Temperature: Cold, Heat
Geographic Location What is this?

resource focuses on specific location

    Non-United States
    • Non-United States: Europe
Health Impact What is this?

specification of health effect or disease related to climate change exposure

    Cancer, Dermatological Impact, Infectious Disease, Morbidity/Mortality, Temperature-Related Health Impact
    • Cancer, Dermatological Impact, Infectious Disease, Morbidity/Mortality, Temperature-Related Health Impact: Airborne Disease, Foodborne Disease, Vectorborne Disease, Waterborne Disease
      • Airborne Disease, Foodborne Disease, Vectorborne Disease, Waterborne Disease: Influenza
      • Airborne Disease, Foodborne Disease, Vectorborne Disease, Waterborne Disease: Salmonellosis
      • Airborne Disease, Foodborne Disease, Vectorborne Disease, Waterborne Disease: Tick-borne Disease
        • Tick-borne Disease: Lyme Disease
        Tick-borne Disease
      • Airborne Disease, Foodborne Disease, Vectorborne Disease, Waterborne Disease: Salmonellosis
      Airborne DiseaseFoodborne DiseaseVectorborne DiseaseWaterborne Disease
    • Cancer, Dermatological Impact, Infectious Disease, Morbidity/Mortality, Temperature-Related Health Impact: Cold-Related Health Impact
Model/Methodology What is this?

type of model used or methodology development is a focus of resource

    Outcome Change Prediction
Model Timescale What is this?

how far into the future results of a model/analysis are projected

    Long-Term (>10 years)
Resource Type What is this?

format or standard characteristic of resource

    Research Article
Climate Change and Socioeconomic Scenarios
    Special Report on Emissions Scenario (SRES)
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