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Your Environment. Your Health.

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal Projected changes in heat wave characteristics in the Carpathian Basin comparing different definitions

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal

Author(s):
Gondocs J, Hajnalka B, Pongracz R, Bartholy J
Year:
2018
Journal:
International Journal of Global Warming. 16 (2)
Abstract:

Heat waves (HVVs) associated with climate change and increased near-surface air temperature can be considered as a climatic hazard for people and the environment. This study evaluates six HW detecting methods and the estimated HW characteristics (duration, frequency and intensity) from observational (CarpatClim database) and modelled (RegCM simulations with the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5) datasets. The RegCM model results show a considerable future increase (by 2016-2045; 2061-2090) in HW days compared to the reference period (1971-2000). In case of RCP4.5, HW days become 3-6 times more frequent, while the increase is 5-9 fold for RCP8.5 by the end of the century. As a consequence of climate change, HW durations are also projected to become 1-2 (3-4) days longer on average for RCP4.5 (RCP8.5) in the Carpathian Basin.

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Resource Description

Exposure What is this?

weather or climate related pathway by which climate change affects health

    Temperature
    • Temperature: Heat
Geographic Feature What is this?

resource focuses on specific type of geography

    Freshwater
Geographic Location What is this?

resource focuses on specific location

    Non-United States
    • Non-United States: Europe
Health Impact What is this?

specification of health effect or disease related to climate change exposure

    Temperature-Related Health Impact
    • Temperature-Related Health Impact: Heat-Related Health Impact
Model/Methodology What is this?

type of model used or methodology development is a focus of resource

    Exposure Change Prediction, Methodology
Model Timescale What is this?

how far into the future results of a model/analysis are projected

    Long-Term (>10 years)
Resource Type What is this?

format or standard characteristic of resource

    Research Article
Climate Change and Socioeconomic Scenarios
    Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP)
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