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Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal Reflections on the use of Bayesian belief networks for adaptive management

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal

Henriksen HJ, Barlebo HC
2008
Journal of Environmental Management. 88 (4): 1025-1036

A broad range of tools are available for integrated water resource management (IWRM). In the EU research project NeWater, a hypothesis exists that IWRM cannot be realised unless current management regimes undergo a transition toward adaptive management (AM). This includes a structured process of learning, dealing with complexity, uncertainty etc. We assume that it is no longer enough for managers and tool researchers to understand the complexity and uncertainty of the outer natural system-the environment. It is just as important, to understand what goes on in the complex and uncertain participatory processes between the water managers, different stakeholders, authorities and researchers when a specific tool and process is used for environmental management. The paper revisits a case study carried out 2001-2004 where the tool Bayesian networks (BNs) was tested for groundwater management with full stakeholder involvement. With the participation of two researchers (the authors) and two water managers previously involved in the case study, a qualitative interview was prepared and carried out in June 2006. The aim of this ex-post evaluation was to capture and explore the water managers' experience with Bayesian belief networks when used for integrated and adaptive water management and provide a narrative approach for tool enhancement. © 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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Resource Description

    Ecosystem Change, Extreme Weather-Related Event or Disaster, Water Quality, Water Security
    • Ecosystem Change, Extreme Weather-Related Event or Disaster, Water Quality, Water Security: Drought, Flood
    • Ecosystem Change, Extreme Weather-Related Event or Disaster, Water Quality, Water Security: Marine/Freshwater Chemical
    Freshwater, Other Geographic Feature, Specify
    • Freshwater, Other Geographic Feature, Specify: Groundwater
    Non-United States
    • Non-United States: Europe
    General Health Impact
    Research Article
    Adaptation, Climate Justice/Climate Equity, Communication
    • Adaptation, Climate Justice/Climate Equity, Communication: Adaptation Co-Benefit/Co-Harm, Vulnerability Assessment
    • Adaptation, Climate Justice/Climate Equity, Communication: General Public/Unspecified, Policymaker, Researcher
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