Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal
Author(s):
Lobell DB, Burke MB, Tebaldi C, Mastrandrea MD, Falcon WP, Naylor RL
Year:
2008
Journal:
Science. 319 (5863): 607-610
Source:
Abstract:
Investments aimed at improving agricultural adaptation to climate change inevitably favor some crops and regions over others. An analysis of climate risks for crops in 12 food-insecure regions was conducted to identify adaptation priorities, based on statistical crop models and climate projections for 2030 from 20 general circulation models. Results indicate South Asia and Southern Africa as two regions that, without sufficient adaptation measures, will likely suffer negative impacts on several crops that are important to large food-insecure human populations. We also find that uncertainties vary widely by crop, and therefore priorities will depend on the risk attitudes of investment institutions.
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Abstract
Resource Description
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Food Security
- Food Security: Crop/Plant Food Security
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General Geographic Feature
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Non-United States
- Non-United States: Africa, Asia
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General Health Impact
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Exposure Change Prediction
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Long-Term (>10 years)
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Research Article
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Adaptation, Climate Justice/Climate Equity, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population
- Adaptation, Climate Justice/Climate Equity, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population: Adaptation Co-Benefit/Co-Harm, Vulnerability Assessment
- Adaptation, Climate Justice/Climate Equity, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population: Low Socioeconomic Status