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Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal

Lobell DB, Burke MB, Tebaldi C, Mastrandrea MD, Falcon WP, Naylor RL
2008
Science. 319 (5863): 607-610

Investments aimed at improving agricultural adaptation to climate change inevitably favor some crops and regions over others. An analysis of climate risks for crops in 12 food-insecure regions was conducted to identify adaptation priorities, based on statistical crop models and climate projections for 2030 from 20 general circulation models. Results indicate South Asia and Southern Africa as two regions that, without sufficient adaptation measures, will likely suffer negative impacts on several crops that are important to large food-insecure human populations. We also find that uncertainties vary widely by crop, and therefore priorities will depend on the risk attitudes of investment institutions.

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Resource Description

    Food Security
    • Food Security: Crop/Plant Food Security
    General Geographic Feature
    Non-United States
    • Non-United States: Africa, Asia
    General Health Impact
    Exposure Change Prediction
    Long-Term (>10 years)
    Research Article
    Adaptation, Climate Justice/Climate Equity, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population
    • Adaptation, Climate Justice/Climate Equity, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population: Adaptation Co-Benefit/Co-Harm, Vulnerability Assessment
    • Adaptation, Climate Justice/Climate Equity, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population: Low Socioeconomic Status
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