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Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal Temperature and cardiovascular deaths in the US elderly: Changes over time

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Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal

Barnett AG
2007
Epidemiology. 18 (3): 369-372

BACKGROUND: Short-term changes in temperature have been associated with cardiovascular deaths. This study examines changes in this association over time among the US elderly. METHODS: Daily cardiovascular mortality counts from 107 cities in the US National Morbidity and Mortality Air Pollution Study were regressed against daily temperature using the case-crossover method. Estimates were averaged by time and season using a meta-analysis. RESULTS: In summer 1987 the average increase in cardiovascular deaths due to a 10°F increase in temperature was 4.7%. By summer 2000, the risk with higher temperature had disappeared (-0.4%). In contrast, an increase in temperature in fall, winter and spring was associated with a decrease in deaths, and this decrease remained constant over time. CONCLUSIONS: Heat-related cardiovascular deaths in the elderly have declined over time, probably due to increased use of air conditioning, while increased risks with cold-related temperature persist.

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Resource Description

    Air Pollution, Temperature, Other Exposure, Specify
    • Air Pollution, Temperature, Other Exposure, Specify: Cold, Heat, Variability
    • Air Pollution, Temperature, Other Exposure, Specify: dew point
    Urban
    United States
    Cardiovascular Impact
    • Cardiovascular Impact: Other Cardiovascular Impact, Specify
      • Other Cardiovascular Impact, Specify: cardiovascular disease mortality
      Cardiovascular Disease (other)
    Research Article
    Vulnerable Population
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