Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal
This paper examines the distribution of climate change impacts across the 16 agro-ecological zones in Africa using data from the Food and Agriculture Organization combined with economic survey data from a Global Environment Facility/World Bank project. Net revenue per hectare of cropland is regressed on a set of climate, soil, and socio-economic variables using different econometric specifications "with" and "without" country fixed effects. Country fixed effects slightly reduce predicted future climate related damage to agriculture. With a mild climate scenario, African farmers gain income from climate change; with a more severe scenario, they lose income. Some locations are more affected than others. The analysis of agro-ecological zones implies that the effects of climate change will vary across Africa. For example, currently productive areas such as dry/moist savannah are more vulnerable to climate change while currently less productive agricultural zones such as humid forest or sub-humid zones become more productive in the future. The agro-ecological zone classification can help explain the variation of impacts across the landscape.
Resource Description
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Ecosystem Change, Food Security
- Ecosystem Change, Food Security: Crop/Plant Food Security, Livestock/Game Food Security
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Forest, Grassland, Other Geographic Feature, Specify
- Forest, Grassland, Other Geographic Feature, Specify: Savannah;Forest
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Non-United States
- Non-United States: Africa
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General Health Impact
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Exposure Change Prediction
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Long-Term (>10 years)
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Research Article
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Adaptation, Communication, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population
- Adaptation, Communication, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population: Adaptation Co-Benefit/Co-Harm, Resilience, Vulnerability Assessment
- Adaptation, Communication, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population: Policymaker
- Adaptation, Communication, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population: Mitigation Co-Benefit/Co-Harm
- Adaptation, Communication, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population: Low Socioeconomic Status, Workers
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Special Report on Emissions Scenario (SRES), Other Climate Change Scenario, Specify