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Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal Human plague in the USA: The importance of regional and local climate

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Ben Ari T, Gershunov A, Gage KL, Snall T, Ettestad P, Kausrud KL, Stenseth NC
2008
Biology Letters. 4 (6): 737-740

A 56-year time series of human plague cases (Yersinia pestis) in the western United States was used to explore the effects of climatic patterns on plague levels. We found that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), together with previous plague levels and above-normal temperatures, explained much of the plague variability. We propose that the PDO's impact on plague is conveyed via its effect on precipitation and temperature and the effect of precipitation and temperature on plague hosts and vectors: warmer and wetter climate leading to increased plague activity and thus an increased number of human cases. Our analysis furthermore provides insights into the consistency of plague mechanisms at larger scales.

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Resource Description

    Temperature, Other Exposure, Specify
    • Temperature, Other Exposure, Specify: Variability
    • Temperature, Other Exposure, Specify: Pacific Decadal Oscillation
    General Geographic Feature
    United States
    Infectious Disease
    • Infectious Disease: Vectorborne Disease
      • Vectorborne Disease: Flea-borne Disease
        • Flea-borne Disease: Plague
        Flea-borne Disease
      Vectorborne Disease
    Outcome Change Prediction
    Inter-Annual (1-10 years)
    Research Article
    Adaptation
    • Adaptation: Adaptation Co-Benefit/Co-Harm, Early Warning System, Vulnerability Assessment
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