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Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal Simulating malaria model for different treatment intensities in a variable environment

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal

Wyse APP, Bevilacqua L, Rafikou M
2007
Ecological Modelling. 206 (4-Mar): 322-330

The mathematical model proposed here applies to the Brazilian Amazon region, where the seasonal fluctuation of the mosquito density is clearly observed. The main vector of this region is the Anopheles darlingi, and its latent period is directly linked to the environment temperature. The mathematical model also considers different treatment levels accessible to the infected people. We believe that as the malaria treatment already exists it should be important to concentrate efforts on this theme in order to provide guidelines for the success of malaria control. The numerical simulations show the seasonal fluctuation effects and the relationship between the increase in temperature and treatment efficiency. Particularly it is shown that an increase in temperature strongly affects the latent period, reducing drastically the health care efficiency. (c) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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Resource Description

    Ecosystem Change, Temperature
    • Ecosystem Change, Temperature: Variability
    Tropical
    Non-United States
    • Non-United States: Central/South America
    Infectious Disease
    • Infectious Disease: Vectorborne Disease
      • Vectorborne Disease: Mosquito-borne Disease
        • Mosquito-borne Disease: Malaria
        Mosquito-borne Disease
      Vectorborne Disease
    Exposure Change Prediction, Methodology, Outcome Change Prediction
    Inter-Annual (1-10 years)
    Research Article
    Adaptation, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population
    • Adaptation, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population: Adaptation Co-Benefit/Co-Harm, Early Warning System, Vulnerability Assessment
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