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Your Environment. Your Health.

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and dysentery in Shandong province, China

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal

Author(s):
Zhang Y, Bi P, Wang G, Hiller JE
Year:
2007
Journal:
Environmental Research. 103 (1): 117-120
Abstract:

To investigate the impact of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on dysentery transmission, the relationship between monthly dysentery cases in Shandong Province of China and the monthly Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), a broad index of ENSO, was examined over the period 1991-2003. Spearman correlations and generalized linear models were calculated to detect the association between the SOI and dysentery cases. Data from 1991 to 2001 were used to estimate the parameters, while data from 2002 to 2003 were used to test the forecasting ability of the model. After controlling for seasonality, autocorrelation, and a time-lagged effect, the results indicate that there was a significant negative association between the number of dysentery cases and the SOI, with a lagged effect of 2 months. A one-standard-deviation decrease in the SOI might cause up to 207 more dysentery cases per month in Shandong Province. This is the first report of the impact of the Southern Oscillation on dysentery risk in China, indicating that the SOI may be a useful early indicator of potential dysentery risk in Shandong Province. © 2006 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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Resource Description

Exposure What is this?

weather or climate related pathway by which climate change affects health

    Extreme Weather-Related Event or Disaster, Meteorological Factor, Precipitation, Sea Surface Oscillation, Temperature
Geographic Feature What is this?

resource focuses on specific type of geography

    General Geographic Feature
Geographic Location What is this?

resource focuses on specific location

    Non-United States
    • Non-United States: Asia
Health Impact What is this?

specification of health effect or disease related to climate change exposure

    Infectious Disease
    • Infectious Disease: Foodborne Disease, Waterborne Disease
      • Foodborne Disease, Waterborne Disease: Other Foodborne Disease, Specify, Diarrheal Disease, Unspecified
        • Other Foodborne Disease, Specify, Diarrheal Disease, Unspecified: dysentery
        Foodborne Disease (other)
      • Foodborne Disease, Waterborne Disease: Diarrheal Disease, Unspecified, Other Waterborne Disease, Specify
        • Diarrheal Disease, Unspecified, Other Waterborne Disease, Specify: dysentery
        Waterborne Disease (other)
      Foodborne DiseaseWaterborne Disease
Model/Methodology What is this?

type of model used or methodology development is a focus of resource

    Outcome Change Prediction
Resource Type What is this?

format or standard characteristic of resource

    Research Article
Special Topic What is this?

related topics that intersect with those captured in other filters

    Adaptation, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population
    • Adaptation, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population: Adaptation Co-Benefit/Co-Harm, Vulnerability Assessment
    • Adaptation, Sociodemographic Vulnerability, Vulnerable Population: Low Socioeconomic Status
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