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Your Environment. Your Health.

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal Studying the effect of weather conditions on daily crash counts using a discrete time-series model

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal

Author(s):
Brijs T, Karlis D, Wets G
Year:
2008
Journal:
Accident, Analysis and Prevention. 40 (3): 1180-1190
Abstract:

In previous research, significant effects of weather conditions on car crashes have been found. However, most studies use monthly or yearly data and only few studies are available analyzing the impact of weather conditions on daily car crash counts. Furthermore, the studies that are available on a daily level do not explicitly model the data in a time-series context, hereby ignoring the temporal serial correlation that may be present in the data. In this paper, we introduce an integer autoregressive model for modelling count data with time interdependencies. The model is applied to daily car crash data, metereological data and traffic exposure data from the Netherlands aiming at examining the risk impact of weather conditions on the observed counts. The results show that several assumptions related to the effect of weather conditions on crash counts are found to be significant in the data and that if serial temporal correlation is not accounted for in the model, this may produce biased results.

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Resource Description

Exposure What is this?

weather or climate related pathway by which climate change affects health

    Meteorological Factor, Precipitation, Solar Radiation, Temperature, Other Exposure, Specify
    • Meteorological Factor, Precipitation, Solar Radiation, Temperature, Other Exposure, Specify: Visibility
Geographic Feature What is this?

resource focuses on specific type of geography

    General Geographic Feature
Geographic Location What is this?

resource focuses on specific location

    Non-United States
    • Non-United States: Europe
Health Impact What is this?

specification of health effect or disease related to climate change exposure

    Injury
Model/Methodology What is this?

type of model used or methodology development is a focus of resource

    Outcome Change Prediction
Resource Type What is this?

format or standard characteristic of resource

    Research Article
Special Topic What is this?

related topics that intersect with those captured in other filters

    Adaptation
    • Adaptation: Adaptation Co-Benefit/Co-Harm, Early Warning System, Vulnerability Assessment
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