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Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal Campylobacter monitoring in German broiler flocks: An explorative time series analysis

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Hartnack S, Doherr MG, Alter T, Toutounian-Mashad K, Greiner M
2009
Zoonoses and Public Health. 56 (3): 117-128

Campylobacter, a major zoonotic pathogen, displays seasonality in poultry and in humans. In order to identify temporal patterns in the prevalence of thermophilic Campylobacter spp. in a voluntary monitoring programme in broiler flocks in Germany and in the reported human incidence, time series methods were used. The data originated between May 2004 and June 2007. By the use of seasonal decomposition, autocorrelation and cross-correlation functions, it could be shown that an annual seasonality is present. However, the peak month differs between sample submission, prevalence in broilers and human incidence. Strikingly, the peak in human campylobacterioses preceded the peak in broiler prevalence in Lower Saxony rather than occurring after it. Significant cross-correlations between monthly temperature and prevalence in broilers as well as between human incidence, monthly temperature, rainfall and wind-force were identified. The results highlight the necessity to quantify the transmission of Campylobacter from broiler to humans and to include climatic factors in order to gain further insight into the epidemiology of this zoonotic disease.

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Resource Description

    Food Quality
    • Food Quality: Crop/Plant Pathogen
    General Geographic Feature
    Non-United States
    • Non-United States: Europe
    Infectious Disease
    • Infectious Disease: Foodborne Disease
      • Foodborne Disease: Campylobacteriosis
      Foodborne Disease
    Research Article
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