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Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal Temporal trends and climatic factors associated with bacterial enteric diseases in Vietnam, 1991-2001

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal

Kelly-Hope LA, Alonso WJ, Thiem VD, Canh do G, Anh DD, Lee H, Miller MA
2008
Environmental Health Perspectives. 116 (1): 12-Jul

OBJECTIVE: In Vietnam, shigellosis/dysentery, typhoid fever, and cholera are important enteric diseases. To better understand their epidemiology, we determined temporal trends, seasonal patterns, and climatic factors associated with high risk periods in eight regions across Vietnam. METHODS: We quantified monthly cases and incidence rates (IR) for each region from national surveillance data (1991-2001). High- and low-disease periods were defined from the highest and lowest IRs (1 SD above and below the mean) and from outbreaks from positive outliers (4 SDs higher in 1 month or 2 SDs higher in > or = 2 consecutive months). We used general linear models to compare precipitation, temperature, and humidity between high- and low-risk periods. RESULTS: Shigellosis/dysentery was widespread and increased 2.5 times during the study period, with the highest average IRs found between June and August (2.1/100,000-26.2/100,000). Typhoid fever was endemic in the Mekong River Delta and emerged in the Northwest in the mid-1990s, with peaks between April and August (0.38-8.6). Cholera was mostly epidemic along the central coast between May and November (0.07-2.7), and then decreased dramatically nationwide from 1997 onward. Significant climate differences were found only between high- and low-disease periods. We were able to define 4 shigellosis/dysentery, 14 typhoid fever, and 8 cholera outbreaks, with minimal geotemporal overlap and no significant climatic associations. CONCLUSIONS: In Vietnam, bacterial enteric diseases have distinct temporal trends and seasonal patterns. Climate plays a role in defining high- and low-disease periods, but it does not appear to be an important factor influencing outbreaks.

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Resource Description

    Temperature
    • Temperature: Variability
    General Geographic Feature
    Non-United States
    • Non-United States: Asia
    Infectious Disease
    • Infectious Disease: Foodborne Disease, Waterborne Disease
      • Foodborne Disease, Waterborne Disease: Other Foodborne Disease, Specify, Cholera (foodborne), Shigellosis
        • Other Foodborne Disease, Specify, Cholera (foodborne), Shigellosis: Typhoid fever
        Foodborne Disease (other)
      • Foodborne Disease, Waterborne Disease: Cholera (waterborne), Shigellosis, Other Waterborne Disease, Specify
        • Cholera (waterborne), Shigellosis, Other Waterborne Disease, Specify: Typhoid fever
        Waterborne Disease (other)
      Foodborne DiseaseWaterborne Disease
    Research Article
    Communication
    • Communication: Intervention
    • Communication: Health Professional
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