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Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal Human development in a climate-constrained world: What the past says about the future

Climate Change and Human Health Literature Portal

Lamb WF, Rao ND
2015
Global Environmental Change. 33: 14-22

Energy consumption is necessary for the delivery of human development by supporting access to basic needs, services and infrastructure. Given prevailing technologies and the high degree of inertia in practical rates of decarbonisation, growth in energy consumption from rising global living standards may drive consequent greenhouse gas emissions (GHG). In this paper the 'development as usual' GHG emissions impact of achieving high levels of life expectancy, access to basic needs and continued economic growth are projected to the mid-century using historical elasticities of development and energy consumption in 3 regions - Africa, Centrally Planned Asia, and South Asia. The results suggest that long life expectancy and high levels of access to basic needs are achievable at lower levels of emissions than continued economic growth, but will consume a substantial share of the global budget associated with a 2 degrees C climate goal. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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    Air Pollution
    • Air Pollution: Other Air Pollution, Specify
      • Other Air Pollution, Specify: Greenhouse Gases
      Air Pollution (other)
    Non-United States
    • Non-United States: Africa, Asia
    Mental Health and Well-Being
    • Mental Health and Well-Being: General Mental Health and Well-Being
    Cost/Economic Impact Prediction, Other Model/Methodology Type, Specify
    • Cost/Economic Impact Prediction, Other Model/Methodology Type, Specify: Integrated Assessment Models
    Inter-Annual (1-10 years), Long-Term (>10 years)
    Research Article
    Adaptation, Mitigation , Policy
    • Adaptation, Mitigation , Policy: Intervention
    Other Climate Change Scenario, Specify
    • Other Climate Change Scenario, Specify: IAM Scenario;
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